Thursday, December 23, 2004

Ho Ho Ho skiers and snowboarders, this is the Snow Curmudgeon with you holiday ski forcast!!!

Looks like another beatiful day up on the mountain, unless you want to ski. But come on up anyway, Santa will bring you some new boards so don't worry about those core shots. We have an awesome terrain park set up on the bunny slope. Grind those rails on the boulder field, and launch from patch of snow to patch of snow, it's a blast up here, so come on up. We'll also have the Danimal himself dressed up as santa for the ladies to sit on his lap and tell him how naughty they are, oh ummmm, did I say that? Yeah, well nervermind that last bit, come on up it's a great day. And, because I love you guys, I did some real research and digging around for some long range forcast model updates, I know you will be absolutely fascinated by the following, keep the faith, happy holidays

Snow Curmudgeon

MEANWHILE IN THE NORTHERN STREAM....A STRONG CYCLONE MOVING OFF ASIA BUILDS A STRONG HIGH OVER THE BERING SEA AND PULLS DOWN BITTER COLD ARTIC AIR FROM THE POLAR REGIONS THAT CLASHES WITH THE SUBTROPICAL MOISTURE. THE STAGE IS THEN SET FOR THE CLASH OF THE TITANS.....DESTRUCTIVE PHASING OCCURS AFTER CHRISTMAS RESULTING IN A POWERFULL EAST-WEST JETSTREAM OVER SOUTH-CENTRAL BC, CANADA....THIS JET PROGRESSES EASTWARD AND EVENTUALLY BREAKS DOWN +PNA PATTERN BY FLUSHING BITTER COLD AIR EASTWARD OUT INTO THE ATLANTIC AND THEREBY OPENING UP THE STORM DOOR FOR THE WEST COAST AFTER CHRISTMAS AND JUST BEFORE NEW YEARS DAY. IT IS AFTER CHRISTMAS THAT THE PATTERN CHANGE WELL ADVERTIZED COMES INTO PLAY. THE MODELS, GFS...ECMWF AND CANADIAN ENSEMBLE MEANS ARE IN VERY GOOD TO BETTER AGREEMENT TODAY THAT RETROGRESSION WILL OCCUR OF A RIDGE FROM THE EASTERN GULF OF ALASKA TO NEAR 160W. THIS FAVORS THE DEVELOPMENT OF TROUGHING OVER WESTERN NORTH AMERICA AND IS EVIDENT IN ALL ENSEMBLE SOLUTIONS. THE PNA INDEX WHICH RECENTLY HAS BEEN POSITIVE IS FORECAST TO BECOME NEGATIVE BY NEXT MONDAY AND REMAIN NEGATIVE THROUGH JANUARY 3RD. THE NAO INDEX WHICH IS CURRENTLY STRONGLY POSITIVE IS FORECAST TO DECREASE IN VALUE BUT REMAIN WEAKLY POSITIVE THROUGH THE FIRST WEEK OF JANUARY. WITH ALL THIS SAID....AND ALTHOUGH IT IS NOT CLEAR AT THIS TIME WHICH MODEL SCENARIO WILL BE THE ONE THAT WILL PLAY OUT.....THERE IS A LOT OF POTENTIAL FOR A HEAVY SNOW EVENT OVER THE NEXT TWO WEEKS. THE DETAILS AND TIMING WILL BECOME CLEARER DURING THE EVOLUTION OF THE PATTERN CHANGE.