Trick or Treat!
Yes it is now a new year (the rain year starts October 1st) and Snow Curmudgeon has his own blog, only about 5 years behind the times, I should have just skipped the blog and gone straight to podcasting. That's probably not even that new either huh?
First off, I have been working on this for awhile now, and have painstakenly recreated as much of the history of Snow Curmudgeon Reports as possible. Feel free to peruse the archives, and relive those wonderful memories. Oh wait, last year's snow season sucked, maybe we shouldn't go there. Instead let us look onward, to the future....
Well it is now November, which means the official start of the ski season, but much like christmas, it starts earlier every year, but just like Santa, it doesn't mean the snow actually comes any earlier (I just got back from Freddy's and the Christmas crap is already up, ugggg). Yet the signs of the season are among us, the new Warren Miller just played intown, I have officially bought my pass (only 3 days left to get your discount) and if you happened to look at the Meadows cam you would ahve seen something we haven't seen there in a loooooong time, SNOW!!! Yes that's right my friends, Meadows got snow this weekend, they were even reporting a 4" base this morning, but looking at the Cam it was clear that you could only get 4" if you scraped all the snow into a pile. But fear not, the snow level is coming back down, let's just hope it is here to stay.
The other exciting news is the realease of my official secret Winter forcast. I swindled access to these forcasts through top secret means (it may not be legal to post them on the web, but hey I am the Snow Curmudgeon, I must post for my fans). It looks promising, yet I am skeptical, and still jaded from last year. I even shaved the beard recently. I can only hope this is accurate. We shall see as the winter progresses. I will continue to post forcasts here as they warrent, and i hope to add some good weather links and such to this page. So check back every now and then, I may get bored and post something, or feel free to heckle me, but remember the rules of the Snow Report, I may not be able to ban you from reading this but I can run you skis or board over in the parking lot!
Looking forward to seeing you on the SLopes!!!
Snow Curmudgeon
The forcast:
There are a number of items and indicators to look at that might
foretell our coming Fall and Winter Season, but I like my tried and true method
of looking at the Global weather pattern and noting the position of the Western Subtropical ridge of high pressure. This tells me more about the weather pattern ahead than any other item. The weather pattern itself reflects all of the other indicators very well, and could certainly be the result of the other indicators.
This year, I feel that we will see a Fall and Winter mode similar to
that of 2001-2002. We have noted similar trends already due to the dry Winter of 2005, so coming out of the Dry Winter, we had a wet Spring, now I think we are faced with a Wet Fall and Winter 2006. I find very little evidence of back to back dry winters, unless you go back and look at the 1930's. We had several then, but in recent history, it is rare to get totally dry back to back winter seasons. For this reason, and others, I think that we are setting up for a Wet Winter. The main reason is the position of the subtropical high, which seems to be located inland over the Western U.S. and the Rockies while the long wave trough position seems to be setting up over the North & Eastern Pacific. This positioning seems to give us a very mild and wet Fall and winter pattern when compared to past events that had a
similar weather pattern in October.
Thus, I am inclined to go with a very mild and Wet Fall season, a cooler and wet Winter, and a cool and unsettled early Spring. I think that we could dry out quickly in the later Spring which would be okay with some of my Hay growers. In fact, if we have a Wet and snowy Winter, we will all be welcoming a dry late Spring!
The ridge over the West, in the Fall, leads to a very wet and active Fall weather pattern. Over the years, I have seen this play out many times as the colder air pools over the North/NE Pacific, and the warmer air sets up over the West. This keeps the Rockies very dry and mild in the early Fall, but leaves the PacNW in a wet mode, along with BC/Alberta and the Northern Rockies too. The jet seems to take on a SW to NE mode which is a mild one too. We have noted this already in the month of October. The pattern is now about to shift into a more active mode with stronger weather systems/features and blustery weather. There is strong evidence that we are about to see some very active Fall weather as the Western Ridge weakens and flattens a bit, allowing a stronger Jet to drop Farther South. This certainly brings in some
active weather, stronger fronts and colder air aloft. All of this adds up
to a much wetter mode for much of the PacNW and BC, but even Northern California gets into the act too. So too, Northern Rockies. I think this mode will certainly help the regional Hydro issues, and get us back some water that we need, and Mtn snows that we need too!
As we go through December, the active jet will keep rainfall going
nicely along with heavy regional Mountain snows. This mode will keep us
guessing as we see systems moving inland rather quickly at times. The long
wave trough will remain over the North/NE Pacific while the mean ridge
stays over the Rockies, but in a much flatter mode.
As we move into the New Year, we will see the pattern shift East. This opens the door to some colder air moving inland from the Gulf/Pacific which will lower snow levels markedly. This pattern should bring some heavy snows inland as well as snow levels down to around 500' or lower in January and February. I believe that we will see a later onset of low elevation snow events as it will take time for the colder air to shift East. Thus, January and February will be our cool and unsettled
months. I am not sure that I would call them Cold due to the Lack of a strong Northerly component of the winds aloft. I can't rule out that we could see brief bursts of colder air and low elevation snows, but I do not believe that we will be that cold, or too cold. The relative flatness of the global pattern right now leads me to believe that we are not under the gun for any significant low level snows. I am sure that we will have a shot or two, but nothing that lasts for any prolonged length of time. If we are to see the cold and snowy mode, Jan-Feb would be the time
from, and perhaps lingering into March. We have seen that in years past, a
mild and wet Fall & January, then our coldest weather arriving later in
the Winter and early Spring. I could see that happening this year, if it
is going to happen, it would be later rather than sooner!
Coming out of the winter mode, I think that the Spring pattern will
be typical, March and April showers with low late season snows. This could be a good mode for most of us, because it will help build the late season snowpack and bring some late season decent rainfall. Once we get into April or May, I think that the overall pattern will begin to dry out, finally. I am bullish on the Fall and Winter rains, which could certainly stay active most of the next 6 months. I am certainly leaning toward above normal amounts on a monthly basis for the period. I am sure that we could see some below normal periods, perhaps February, but even so, it
will be wet. Of course, the heavy rains and snows will help many folks and
get us in position to endure what could be a long dry Summer pattern!
Of concern for me in the longer term, is the potential for a ridge developing upstream over the International Dateline. If this were to happen, it would not get going until December or early January, at that time, we usually see 30-45 days before we see the impact of Arctic air reaching us. This can be verified by looking back at 1978-79-80 and again in 1989 and 1990. In each of those Arctic events, the ridge starting to show up a good 30-45 days prior to the arrival of the bitter cold
air. The daily models and means seem to suggest that we could see a ridge develop out there this winter season. If so, then we will have to watch for some colder air in the Jan-March time frame. I can certainly see us getting colder then, but whether that is Arctic will depend on a number of shifts in the pattern aloft. We could see Arctic air reaching BC, but not the PacNW, or we could see it reach the Rockies, but not the PacNW. Or we could see it reach the PacNW and even California. I will not
go off on this right now, but certainly hint that we need to watch the Dateline over the next 60 days, until then, we look mild and wet at times!
Tuesday, October 04, 2005
Received from Daniel today:
Subject: Where are you?
What’s this? Snow on the mountain, even if a little, and nothing from our friend, the SC?! Give us something!
Danimal
SC responds:
Dear Mr. Sigman,
Does the Snow Curmudgeon need to remind you of the rules of the Snow Report list? Criticisms of the Snow Curmudgeon are not to be taken lightly, much less tolerated. The snow season, alas, is a long away off, as mentioned in a recent post. And just because it did indeed precipitate on the mountain, at reasonable snow levels, does not mean it is time for a Snow Report. Snow Reports are a matter of inspiration and divine intervention, 3" of snow on rocks in the first weekend of October is neither inspiring nor divine.
This is the time of season the Ski industry loves the best. There are lots of rumors about skiing, and good snow to come. Many people get all excited, then they go out and buy stuff they don't need, especially for the 6 days of skiing they did last year(no names mentioned here). Don't be one of their pawns Mr. Sigman, you've already bought the skis, and the season pass, maybe you need to relax. Find a fall activity, maybe knitting, or garden gnome hunting, anything to distract your nervous ski energy.
In the meantime, Bro-man and SC will be riding our bikes in the mud, biding our time until we are ready to buy our ski pass, and then shred all winter long, at which point we hope not to be asking "where are YOU Mr. Sigman?" Just like last year.
Subject: Where are you?
What’s this? Snow on the mountain, even if a little, and nothing from our friend, the SC?! Give us something!
Danimal
SC responds:
Dear Mr. Sigman,
Does the Snow Curmudgeon need to remind you of the rules of the Snow Report list? Criticisms of the Snow Curmudgeon are not to be taken lightly, much less tolerated. The snow season, alas, is a long away off, as mentioned in a recent post. And just because it did indeed precipitate on the mountain, at reasonable snow levels, does not mean it is time for a Snow Report. Snow Reports are a matter of inspiration and divine intervention, 3" of snow on rocks in the first weekend of October is neither inspiring nor divine.
This is the time of season the Ski industry loves the best. There are lots of rumors about skiing, and good snow to come. Many people get all excited, then they go out and buy stuff they don't need, especially for the 6 days of skiing they did last year(no names mentioned here). Don't be one of their pawns Mr. Sigman, you've already bought the skis, and the season pass, maybe you need to relax. Find a fall activity, maybe knitting, or garden gnome hunting, anything to distract your nervous ski energy.
In the meantime, Bro-man and SC will be riding our bikes in the mud, biding our time until we are ready to buy our ski pass, and then shred all winter long, at which point we hope not to be asking "where are YOU Mr. Sigman?" Just like last year.
Wednesday, August 17, 2005
I know, you're thinking what the hell is this? It's been 90 degrees,
and it's August. What could that damn Snow Curmudgeon want?
Attention? yes of ocurse, what did you think this was about
Fame? That'd be nice
Money? Not from you poor bastards
In reality I got up early today to go for a run and it was raining,
wich of course makes me insatntly wonder what the snow level is (too
high for those of you wondering). Then at work today I got an e-mail
with a 90 day forcast (see below). So I couldn't help myself. I am
psyched for skiing, I admit it. I am dreaming of cold windy days
riding my new boards catching freshies and lookign out for the gnar
gnar. And yes I admit that the grey clouds and drizzle that most of
you missed while tucked in your beds dreaming of sugar plumb fairies,
put a faint smile on old SC's face. Winter may be a long way off, but
it is getting closer. And that my friends is reason to celebrate. That
and I have a new job that will pay for a season pass again!
So while we're here, what the hell, let's look at the forcast. I
checked the long range status and while it was last issued in July, it
looks right now like they are calling for normal precip with slightly
above average temps. Sounds ok? Well for reference, at this time last
year they called for slightly above averge precip and rain for the
first half of winter with average precip and below average temps after
January. What did we get? Let's not go there, makes me
sad...tears...streams...
In conclusion, while you're sweating in the sweltering heat that will
mark the remainder of this month, revel in the fact that winter is
getting closer, and know that SC will be watching the sky for that
first glimpse of snow and there to give you the cold honest truth.
Keep it real
Snow Curmudgeon
The 90 day forcast:
The two forecasters diverge somewhat in their predictions. ERF
(Volker) says there'll be no rain until after Labor Day.
Weather-Sphere (Anselmo) thinks we'll get some rain over the next two
weeks: between 0.7" and 5" at Headworks (about 2" being most likely)
and a few hundredths to 1.5" here in Portland. After Labor Day,
ERF's forecast calls for gradually increasing amounts of rain as we
move towards the fall, while Weather-Sphere predicts a shot of rain
the week after Labor Day and then another month of dry weather before
the rains begin in earnest in the second half of October.
and it's August. What could that damn Snow Curmudgeon want?
Attention? yes of ocurse, what did you think this was about
Fame? That'd be nice
Money? Not from you poor bastards
In reality I got up early today to go for a run and it was raining,
wich of course makes me insatntly wonder what the snow level is (too
high for those of you wondering). Then at work today I got an e-mail
with a 90 day forcast (see below). So I couldn't help myself. I am
psyched for skiing, I admit it. I am dreaming of cold windy days
riding my new boards catching freshies and lookign out for the gnar
gnar. And yes I admit that the grey clouds and drizzle that most of
you missed while tucked in your beds dreaming of sugar plumb fairies,
put a faint smile on old SC's face. Winter may be a long way off, but
it is getting closer. And that my friends is reason to celebrate. That
and I have a new job that will pay for a season pass again!
So while we're here, what the hell, let's look at the forcast. I
checked the long range status and while it was last issued in July, it
looks right now like they are calling for normal precip with slightly
above average temps. Sounds ok? Well for reference, at this time last
year they called for slightly above averge precip and rain for the
first half of winter with average precip and below average temps after
January. What did we get? Let's not go there, makes me
sad...tears...streams...
In conclusion, while you're sweating in the sweltering heat that will
mark the remainder of this month, revel in the fact that winter is
getting closer, and know that SC will be watching the sky for that
first glimpse of snow and there to give you the cold honest truth.
Keep it real
Snow Curmudgeon
The 90 day forcast:
The two forecasters diverge somewhat in their predictions. ERF
(Volker) says there'll be no rain until after Labor Day.
Weather-Sphere (Anselmo) thinks we'll get some rain over the next two
weeks: between 0.7" and 5" at Headworks (about 2" being most likely)
and a few hundredths to 1.5" here in Portland. After Labor Day,
ERF's forecast calls for gradually increasing amounts of rain as we
move towards the fall, while Weather-Sphere predicts a shot of rain
the week after Labor Day and then another month of dry weather before
the rains begin in earnest in the second half of October.
Wednesday, February 16, 2005
Greetings SC readers,
Getting political and stating my views are the norm around here, so why stop now. I assume some of you, like me, received an e-mail from meadows (or maybe 2) asking for input on future development etc... I would like to strongly encourage (I would threat if I could) you to request for no further expansion. What? You may ask, is the SC bonkers?! Well yes, but that is besides the point. I know lift lines suck, people crash into people etc. But I like to look at the bigger picture. Mt Hood is part of our National FOrest system, a system to protect ecotsystems and natural environments for the health of wildlife and for our health (clean air, water all that good stuff). In the past MHM has not been the greatest of stewards in the world. They have been penalized for destruction of wetlands, and dare I say it, Meadows in the ski area. As many of you also know they are still trying to develop the Cooper Spur Area, part of the North Side of Hood, a beautiful and quiet area. If you have ever backpacked or hiked on or around the N. side you will understand how pretty it is, and how important it is. The Cooper spur area also serves as the drinking water for Hood River. Basically Meadows is trying to cash in now before global warming takes all of the snow away. So I beg and plead for you to not ask for expansion of meadows, including increased parking, overnight accomidations, and definitely not more lifts outside of the area. Having hiked the timberline trail around hood and had to hike under chairlifts in summer, I can tell you, it kinda takes the wild out of wilderness.
I now resume you to your normal Forcast, thank you
Snow Curmudgeon.
Getting political and stating my views are the norm around here, so why stop now. I assume some of you, like me, received an e-mail from meadows (or maybe 2) asking for input on future development etc... I would like to strongly encourage (I would threat if I could) you to request for no further expansion. What? You may ask, is the SC bonkers?! Well yes, but that is besides the point. I know lift lines suck, people crash into people etc. But I like to look at the bigger picture. Mt Hood is part of our National FOrest system, a system to protect ecotsystems and natural environments for the health of wildlife and for our health (clean air, water all that good stuff). In the past MHM has not been the greatest of stewards in the world. They have been penalized for destruction of wetlands, and dare I say it, Meadows in the ski area. As many of you also know they are still trying to develop the Cooper Spur Area, part of the North Side of Hood, a beautiful and quiet area. If you have ever backpacked or hiked on or around the N. side you will understand how pretty it is, and how important it is. The Cooper spur area also serves as the drinking water for Hood River. Basically Meadows is trying to cash in now before global warming takes all of the snow away. So I beg and plead for you to not ask for expansion of meadows, including increased parking, overnight accomidations, and definitely not more lifts outside of the area. Having hiked the timberline trail around hood and had to hike under chairlifts in summer, I can tell you, it kinda takes the wild out of wilderness.
I now resume you to your normal Forcast, thank you
Snow Curmudgeon.
Tuesday, February 15, 2005
The sun is shining the birds are chirping, it can only mean one thing, it's May in Oregon! Wait, that's not right, what the hell?!?! When will this nightmare end? Based on the discussions included at the end of the report, not anytime soon. Sorry kids.
Sunday's skiing was ok, worth the drive. What I want to know is what gives with the racers? Those kids kill me. They make punk boarders look downright civilized, cutting in lines, taking up half of Shooting star, come on. But man I love those skin suits, where can I get me one of them?
Congratulations to Kim for getting in some riding yesterday. It always makes me happy to see one of our own get an enjoyable day on the mountain. Widh I could have joined joined you, but I gotta save those sick days for the "special" moments.
Keep your fingers crossed for the weekend, but I am skeptical. It is only a Slight POP (probability of precipitation), damn split upper trough is causing it all to go way north or way south. Read on for more:
Love,
SC
.SYNOPSIS...A RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE OFF THE BC COAST WILL BUILD
INLAND OVER THE PACIFIC NW OVER THE NEXT FEW DAYS...WHILE LOW
PRESSURE REMAINS ANCHORED OFF THE CA COAST. OFFSHORE FLOW WILL KEEP
THE REGION DRY THROUGH THE END OF THE WEEK. A SYSTEM DROPPING SOUTH
OUT OF CANADA LATE IN THE WEEKEND BRINGS THE NEXT POSSIBILITY FOR
RAIN.
&&
.SHORT TERM...IR SATELLITE SHOWS UPPER LOW OFF THE CALIFORNIA COAST
AND UPPER HIGH OVER THE NE PACIFIC WATERS. SKIES OVER THE PACIFIC
NORTHWEST ARE CLEAR AND OVERNIGHT TEMPS COOL WITH DRY AIR IN PLACE.
LOWS REACHED INTO THE MID 20S IN THE LOW ELEVATION AREAS. SEE LITTLE
TO CHANGE IN THE SHORT TERM FORECAST AT THIS POINT SINCE DRY
CONDITIONS WILL REMAIN IN THE FORECAST FOR THE NEXT FEW DAYS. LOOKING
FOR EAST WINDS TO INCREASE LATER TONIGHT WITH LOW PRESSURE ALONG THE
COAST AND HIGHER PRESSURE SINKING INTO E OREGON.
UPPER TROUGH CURRENTLY STRETCHED BACK TO THE SW FROM CENTRAL CANADA
WILL PULL E TODAY AS MODELS STRENGTHEN THE UPPER HIGH OFF THE BC
COAST...AND BUILD IT SE INTO THE REGION. LOW PRESSURE WILL REMAIN
SOUTH OF THE REGION...OFF THE CA COAST. THIS WILL KEEP THE RAIN WELL
S OF THE REGION. AS THE SURFACE HIGH BUILDS E OF THE CASCADES...
OFFSHORE FLOW WILL WORK TO MAINTAIN A DRY AIR MASS...WHICH SHOULD
PRECLUDE WIDESPREAD FOG DESPITE A DEVELOPING LOW LEVEL INVERSION.
.LONG TERM...NO CHANGES. PREVIOUS DISCUSSION FOLLOWS...
MODELS MAINTAIN A STABLE REX BLOCK THROUGH FRI...BUT BEGIN TO DIVERGE
SOME OVER THE WEEKEND. GFS AND ECMWF INDICATE A SYSTEM DROPPING S OUT
OF CANADA OVER THE WEEKEND...WHILE CANADIAN MODEL MAINTAINS A SPLIT
FLOW. NOT A LIT OF CONFIDENCE IN THE GFS SOLUTION GIVEN THE STABILITY
OF THE PRESENT PATTERN...BUT GIVEN THE SIMILARITIES TO ECMWF...WILL
NEED TO KEEP A LOW POP IN THE FORECAST FROM SAT NIGHT ON.
Sunday's skiing was ok, worth the drive. What I want to know is what gives with the racers? Those kids kill me. They make punk boarders look downright civilized, cutting in lines, taking up half of Shooting star, come on. But man I love those skin suits, where can I get me one of them?
Congratulations to Kim for getting in some riding yesterday. It always makes me happy to see one of our own get an enjoyable day on the mountain. Widh I could have joined joined you, but I gotta save those sick days for the "special" moments.
Keep your fingers crossed for the weekend, but I am skeptical. It is only a Slight POP (probability of precipitation), damn split upper trough is causing it all to go way north or way south. Read on for more:
Love,
SC
.SYNOPSIS...A RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE OFF THE BC COAST WILL BUILD
INLAND OVER THE PACIFIC NW OVER THE NEXT FEW DAYS...WHILE LOW
PRESSURE REMAINS ANCHORED OFF THE CA COAST. OFFSHORE FLOW WILL KEEP
THE REGION DRY THROUGH THE END OF THE WEEK. A SYSTEM DROPPING SOUTH
OUT OF CANADA LATE IN THE WEEKEND BRINGS THE NEXT POSSIBILITY FOR
RAIN.
&&
.SHORT TERM...IR SATELLITE SHOWS UPPER LOW OFF THE CALIFORNIA COAST
AND UPPER HIGH OVER THE NE PACIFIC WATERS. SKIES OVER THE PACIFIC
NORTHWEST ARE CLEAR AND OVERNIGHT TEMPS COOL WITH DRY AIR IN PLACE.
LOWS REACHED INTO THE MID 20S IN THE LOW ELEVATION AREAS. SEE LITTLE
TO CHANGE IN THE SHORT TERM FORECAST AT THIS POINT SINCE DRY
CONDITIONS WILL REMAIN IN THE FORECAST FOR THE NEXT FEW DAYS. LOOKING
FOR EAST WINDS TO INCREASE LATER TONIGHT WITH LOW PRESSURE ALONG THE
COAST AND HIGHER PRESSURE SINKING INTO E OREGON.
UPPER TROUGH CURRENTLY STRETCHED BACK TO THE SW FROM CENTRAL CANADA
WILL PULL E TODAY AS MODELS STRENGTHEN THE UPPER HIGH OFF THE BC
COAST...AND BUILD IT SE INTO THE REGION. LOW PRESSURE WILL REMAIN
SOUTH OF THE REGION...OFF THE CA COAST. THIS WILL KEEP THE RAIN WELL
S OF THE REGION. AS THE SURFACE HIGH BUILDS E OF THE CASCADES...
OFFSHORE FLOW WILL WORK TO MAINTAIN A DRY AIR MASS...WHICH SHOULD
PRECLUDE WIDESPREAD FOG DESPITE A DEVELOPING LOW LEVEL INVERSION.
.LONG TERM...NO CHANGES. PREVIOUS DISCUSSION FOLLOWS...
MODELS MAINTAIN A STABLE REX BLOCK THROUGH FRI...BUT BEGIN TO DIVERGE
SOME OVER THE WEEKEND. GFS AND ECMWF INDICATE A SYSTEM DROPPING S OUT
OF CANADA OVER THE WEEKEND...WHILE CANADIAN MODEL MAINTAINS A SPLIT
FLOW. NOT A LIT OF CONFIDENCE IN THE GFS SOLUTION GIVEN THE STABILITY
OF THE PRESENT PATTERN...BUT GIVEN THE SIMILARITIES TO ECMWF...WILL
NEED TO KEEP A LOW POP IN THE FORECAST FROM SAT NIGHT ON.
Friday, February 11, 2005
Greetings friends, worshipers and enemies (there are probably more of you in the latter than former huh?)
Welcome to the SNow Curmudgeon Sno Report for Saturday and SUnday February 12 and 13, 2005. First let me say happy lent, or maybe that isn't suposed to be a happy time? I want to let you all know that I gave up skiing on a decent snow pack for lent, what have you done to show appreciation for all Jesus sacrificed for our sins? Like the new skis I bought, talk about a sin this year!!!
Oh yeah the snow report, well I am going on a guess today, I am sure you have all seen the forcasts for up to 5 inches on Saturday and another 2-3 Saturday night, well I have a bad feeling about this one. For starters I just finished watching the Satellite images and there isn't a lot of moisture out there immediately, so I would not count on much coming in tonight. If you have been followign the forcast you will have noticed how a week ago it was supposed to rain today and tonight, now it is a slight chance of showers after Midnight. My money is on no precip before mid day tomorrow. As for tomorrow night, they seem to be backing off that storm a little each day, so I would not count on this one over producing. All in all by Sunday morning I would say nothing more than 3-4 inches total for Friday, Saturday and Saturday night. To make matters worse, I think the place will be a zoo, everyone is going up there. Oh yeah, the Slight Chance of SNow Showers for Tues-Thursday in the forcast, I think will be eliminated all together in a day or two to just partly cloudy, free air freezing level 11000 feet. so sad.
Sorry I know this isn't what you want to hear, but I am not the Snow CURMUDGEON for nothing. I do think the best snow will be outside the resort, especially on some N facing slopes, can we say Heather Canyon? So if you are on Shooting Star on Sunday you just might find SC hiking up and down Heather doing some laps. Who knows....If you want to hear good news call the meadows sno-fone, 503-227-7669. But what happened to Bart, I haven't heard him in weeks. They must have fired him. So sad.....we miss you Bart, RIP (Rip In Peace). ANd now the "official" forcast....
ORZ011-013-112300-
NORTH OREGON CASCADES-CASCADES OF LANE COUNTY-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...GOVERNMENT CAMP...PARKDALE...DETROIT...
SANTIAM PASS...MCKENZIE PASS...MCKENZIE BRIDGE...WILLAMETTE PASS...
OAKRIDGE
938 AM PST FRI FEB 11 2005
.TODAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. FREE AIR FREEZING LEVEL 9000 FEET LOWERING TO
8000 FEET IN THE AFTERNOON. PASS WINDS SOUTHEAST 5 TO 10 MPH BECOMING
SOUTHWEST 10 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
.TONIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY EARLY...THEN MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A SLIGHT
CHANCE OF RAIN AFTER MIDNIGHT. SNOW LEVEL 5000 FEET AFTER MIDNIGHT.
PASS WINDS SOUTHWEST 5 TO 10 MPH.
.SATURDAY...SHOWERS EARLY...THEN SNOW SHOWERS LIKELY IN THE
AFTERNOON. COOLER. SNOW LEVEL 4000 FEET LOWERING TO 3500 FEET IN THE
AFTERNOON. SNOW ACCUMULATION 2 TO 5 INCHES. PASS WINDS SOUTHWEST 10
TO 15 MPH BECOMING WEST IN THE AFTERNOON.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. SNOW
LEVEL 2500 FEET. PASS WINDS SOUTHWEST 10 MPH.
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. A CHANCE OF
SHOWERS IN THE AFTERNOON. SNOW LEVEL 3000 FEET. PASS WINDS NORTHEAST
10 MPH.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. SNOW LEVEL
3500 FEET.
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF RAIN. SNOW LEVEL 5000 FEET.
.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. SNOW
LEVEL 4000 FEET.
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY WITH A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. SNOW LEVEL
4500 FEET.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY WITH A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. SNOW
LEVEL 5000 FEET.
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY WITH A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. SNOW
LEVEL 5000 FEET.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY WITH A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS.
SNOW LEVEL 5000 FEET.
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY WITH A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. SNOW LEVEL
5000 FEET.
SC
Welcome to the SNow Curmudgeon Sno Report for Saturday and SUnday February 12 and 13, 2005. First let me say happy lent, or maybe that isn't suposed to be a happy time? I want to let you all know that I gave up skiing on a decent snow pack for lent, what have you done to show appreciation for all Jesus sacrificed for our sins? Like the new skis I bought, talk about a sin this year!!!
Oh yeah the snow report, well I am going on a guess today, I am sure you have all seen the forcasts for up to 5 inches on Saturday and another 2-3 Saturday night, well I have a bad feeling about this one. For starters I just finished watching the Satellite images and there isn't a lot of moisture out there immediately, so I would not count on much coming in tonight. If you have been followign the forcast you will have noticed how a week ago it was supposed to rain today and tonight, now it is a slight chance of showers after Midnight. My money is on no precip before mid day tomorrow. As for tomorrow night, they seem to be backing off that storm a little each day, so I would not count on this one over producing. All in all by Sunday morning I would say nothing more than 3-4 inches total for Friday, Saturday and Saturday night. To make matters worse, I think the place will be a zoo, everyone is going up there. Oh yeah, the Slight Chance of SNow Showers for Tues-Thursday in the forcast, I think will be eliminated all together in a day or two to just partly cloudy, free air freezing level 11000 feet. so sad.
Sorry I know this isn't what you want to hear, but I am not the Snow CURMUDGEON for nothing. I do think the best snow will be outside the resort, especially on some N facing slopes, can we say Heather Canyon? So if you are on Shooting Star on Sunday you just might find SC hiking up and down Heather doing some laps. Who knows....If you want to hear good news call the meadows sno-fone, 503-227-7669. But what happened to Bart, I haven't heard him in weeks. They must have fired him. So sad.....we miss you Bart, RIP (Rip In Peace). ANd now the "official" forcast....
ORZ011-013-112300-
NORTH OREGON CASCADES-CASCADES OF LANE COUNTY-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...GOVERNMENT CAMP...PARKDALE...DETROIT...
SANTIAM PASS...MCKENZIE PASS...MCKENZIE BRIDGE...WILLAMETTE PASS...
OAKRIDGE
938 AM PST FRI FEB 11 2005
.TODAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. FREE AIR FREEZING LEVEL 9000 FEET LOWERING TO
8000 FEET IN THE AFTERNOON. PASS WINDS SOUTHEAST 5 TO 10 MPH BECOMING
SOUTHWEST 10 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
.TONIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY EARLY...THEN MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A SLIGHT
CHANCE OF RAIN AFTER MIDNIGHT. SNOW LEVEL 5000 FEET AFTER MIDNIGHT.
PASS WINDS SOUTHWEST 5 TO 10 MPH.
.SATURDAY...SHOWERS EARLY...THEN SNOW SHOWERS LIKELY IN THE
AFTERNOON. COOLER. SNOW LEVEL 4000 FEET LOWERING TO 3500 FEET IN THE
AFTERNOON. SNOW ACCUMULATION 2 TO 5 INCHES. PASS WINDS SOUTHWEST 10
TO 15 MPH BECOMING WEST IN THE AFTERNOON.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. SNOW
LEVEL 2500 FEET. PASS WINDS SOUTHWEST 10 MPH.
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. A CHANCE OF
SHOWERS IN THE AFTERNOON. SNOW LEVEL 3000 FEET. PASS WINDS NORTHEAST
10 MPH.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. SNOW LEVEL
3500 FEET.
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF RAIN. SNOW LEVEL 5000 FEET.
.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. SNOW
LEVEL 4000 FEET.
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY WITH A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. SNOW LEVEL
4500 FEET.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY WITH A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. SNOW
LEVEL 5000 FEET.
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY WITH A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. SNOW
LEVEL 5000 FEET.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY WITH A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS.
SNOW LEVEL 5000 FEET.
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY WITH A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. SNOW LEVEL
5000 FEET.
SC
Tuesday, February 08, 2005
Part Two: Face shots and core shots; Snow Curmudgeon takes a sick day
What is that old adage, pity on he/she who has to work on a powder day? Well I would say that still holds true. Yes folks it was rippin on the mountain yesterday. They opened Cascade, which had been untouched all weekend. And old SC was lucky enough to lay some fresh tracks in some deep powder, unfortunately not deep enough all over to sufficiently cover the rocks, but I never said this season would be without casualties. The results: three core shots, but yet we had uncountable face shots. My cheeks are sore from smiling up and down the slopes all morning. Not only was the snow great but the views were stellar. One of the best days of the year, and not a single lift line. Not even once did I have to wait for a chair. Skiing the way it was meant to be, okay minus about 90” of base snow, but let’s not get picky people, when you have a season pass and it dumps you have to go. So for those of you who sat at your computer all day wondering where the Snow Report was, SHAME ON YOU!!!! SC is very very disappointed. Even being from Texas or some other Red state is no excuse. Worried about your gear? COme on there will be some great close outs in a month or two, just buy new stuff, stop being a wuss (Daniel that means you too) and go ski (or board) until you do, no more complaining! I even saw Spidey and Peter up there, and Tree was there in spirit ;)
So I am sure you are thinking: “Oh Snow Curmudgeon I am so sorry! How can I make it up? Is it too late? Can I call in sick tomorrow and regain some respect?” The answer: NO! All that is left are sloppy seconds, and nothing but gnar gnar. You will have to wait until next week…..maybe (see below)
Over and out
SC
NORTH OREGON CASCADES-CASCADES OF LANE COUNTY-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...GOVERNMENT CAMP...PARKDALE...DETROIT...
SANTIAM PASS...MCKENZIE PASS...MCKENZIE BRIDGE...WILLAMETTE PASS...
OAKRIDGE
946 AM PST TUE FEB 08 2005
.TODAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. FREE AIR FREEZING LEVEL 5000 FEET. PASS WINDS
EAST 10 MPH.
.TONIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. FREE AIR FREEZING LEVEL 5000 FEET. PASS
WINDS EAST 10 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. FREE AIR FREEZING LEVEL 6500 FEET. PASS
WINDS EAST 10 TO 15 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. FREE AIR FREEZING LEVEL 5500 FEET.
PASS WINDS EAST 5 TO 15 MPH.
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. FREE AIR FREEZING LEVEL 7000 FEET. PASS
WINDS EAST 5 TO 15 MPH.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. FREE AIR FREEZING LEVEL 6000 FEET.
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. FREE AIR FREEZING LEVEL 8000 FEET.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF RAIN OR SNOW. SNOW
LEVEL 6500 FEET.
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF RAIN OR SNOW. SNOW LEVEL
4500 FEET.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF RAIN OR SNOW. SNOW
LEVEL 4000 FEET.
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF RAIN OR SNOW. SNOW LEVEL
3500 FEET.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF RAIN OR SNOW. SNOW
LEVEL 5500 FEET.
.MONDAY...PARTLY SUNNY WITH A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. SNOW LEVEL 3000
FEET.
&&
TEMPERATURE / PRECIPITATION
GOVERNMENT CAMP 39 22 41 22 42 / 00 10 10 10 10
WILLAMETTE PASS 38 18 41 19 42 / 00 10 10 10 10
What is that old adage, pity on he/she who has to work on a powder day? Well I would say that still holds true. Yes folks it was rippin on the mountain yesterday. They opened Cascade, which had been untouched all weekend. And old SC was lucky enough to lay some fresh tracks in some deep powder, unfortunately not deep enough all over to sufficiently cover the rocks, but I never said this season would be without casualties. The results: three core shots, but yet we had uncountable face shots. My cheeks are sore from smiling up and down the slopes all morning. Not only was the snow great but the views were stellar. One of the best days of the year, and not a single lift line. Not even once did I have to wait for a chair. Skiing the way it was meant to be, okay minus about 90” of base snow, but let’s not get picky people, when you have a season pass and it dumps you have to go. So for those of you who sat at your computer all day wondering where the Snow Report was, SHAME ON YOU!!!! SC is very very disappointed. Even being from Texas or some other Red state is no excuse. Worried about your gear? COme on there will be some great close outs in a month or two, just buy new stuff, stop being a wuss (Daniel that means you too) and go ski (or board) until you do, no more complaining! I even saw Spidey and Peter up there, and Tree was there in spirit ;)
So I am sure you are thinking: “Oh Snow Curmudgeon I am so sorry! How can I make it up? Is it too late? Can I call in sick tomorrow and regain some respect?” The answer: NO! All that is left are sloppy seconds, and nothing but gnar gnar. You will have to wait until next week…..maybe (see below)
Over and out
SC
NORTH OREGON CASCADES-CASCADES OF LANE COUNTY-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...GOVERNMENT CAMP...PARKDALE...DETROIT...
SANTIAM PASS...MCKENZIE PASS...MCKENZIE BRIDGE...WILLAMETTE PASS...
OAKRIDGE
946 AM PST TUE FEB 08 2005
.TODAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. FREE AIR FREEZING LEVEL 5000 FEET. PASS WINDS
EAST 10 MPH.
.TONIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. FREE AIR FREEZING LEVEL 5000 FEET. PASS
WINDS EAST 10 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. FREE AIR FREEZING LEVEL 6500 FEET. PASS
WINDS EAST 10 TO 15 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. FREE AIR FREEZING LEVEL 5500 FEET.
PASS WINDS EAST 5 TO 15 MPH.
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. FREE AIR FREEZING LEVEL 7000 FEET. PASS
WINDS EAST 5 TO 15 MPH.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. FREE AIR FREEZING LEVEL 6000 FEET.
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. FREE AIR FREEZING LEVEL 8000 FEET.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF RAIN OR SNOW. SNOW
LEVEL 6500 FEET.
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF RAIN OR SNOW. SNOW LEVEL
4500 FEET.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF RAIN OR SNOW. SNOW
LEVEL 4000 FEET.
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF RAIN OR SNOW. SNOW LEVEL
3500 FEET.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF RAIN OR SNOW. SNOW
LEVEL 5500 FEET.
.MONDAY...PARTLY SUNNY WITH A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. SNOW LEVEL 3000
FEET.
&&
TEMPERATURE / PRECIPITATION
GOVERNMENT CAMP 39 22 41 22 42 / 00 10 10 10 10
WILLAMETTE PASS 38 18 41 19 42 / 00 10 10 10 10
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